Friday, July 8, 2016

Squeeze

MM给面子。昨天说short squeeze,今天真的就squeeze了。大家看看各个板块的表现,RUT 2%, SPX 1%, XLF 1.6%, 唯独XLE只有0.6%,因为原油基本上持平。

今天的Squeeze是因为就业报告大幅好于预期。我估计很快市场就会担心联储加息,所以激进的熊熊今天可以考虑入场。关于加息,我以前从另外的角度分析过。我觉得各方面原因叠加,7月份的加息可能性会显著增加。

今天的走法很好的说明了,研究股市,应该研究动力学,而不是现象学。早上没时间展开。周末聊。


5 comments:

  1. SP500 close above the 2 years range, what do you think now? thanks

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    1. 今天晚上又在squeeze了。

      如果是squeeze的话,一般是直上然后直下。什么时候小熊都投降了,什么时候squeeze结束。

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    2. is it the same as GDXJ (squeeze), i can't figure out why it is so strong move this year.

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    3. The market tends to climb a "wall of worry" before every major down draft. I think this is what's happening now.

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